收益电话会议:欧洲蜡中心报告一季度稳定增长计划
2025-10-08 08:50

收益电话会议:欧洲蜡中心报告一季度稳定增长计划

  

  

  欧洲脱毛中心(EWC)是一家领先的户外脱毛服务提供商,该公司公布了其2024年第一季度财报,业绩稳定,并制定了战略增长计划。尽管受天气影响和假日关闭的影响,同店销售额略有下降,但该公司显示出强劲的利润率和稳健的现金状况。欧洲蜡像中心的重点是扩大客户群,增加现有客人的消费。随着七个新中心的开业,该公司继续加强其市场占有率,并正在试点激光脱毛服务,以使其产品多样化。

  欧洲蜡像中心开设了7个新中心,使其足迹扩大到遍布45个州的1051个中心。

  全系统销售额增长1.3%至2.214亿美元,总收入增长4%至5190万美元。

  该公司公布,受天气和复活节相关关闭的影响,同店销售额下降了1.2%。

  宣布了一项新的5000万美元股票回购计划。

  欧洲蜡中心计划开设75至80个新中心,预计到2024年,全系统销售额将在10亿至10.25亿美元之间。

  调整后的EBITDA预计在7500万至8000万美元之间,调整后的净收入预计在2200万至2500万美元之间。

  该公司计划投资激光脱毛试点项目,并预计毛利率将有所增长。

  欧洲蜡中心的目标是通过扩大其净新中心和中心内销售来推动收入增长。

  该公司预计将交付100万美元持续增长并保持其在户外脱毛市场的主导地位。

  欧洲蜡像中心地位独特需要试点并有可能扩大激光脱毛服务。

  由于与天气有关的中断和复活节关闭,同店销售额下降了1.2%。

  广告费用预计将在第二季度增加400个基点。

  欧洲蜡中心的举措对蜡通转换、零售附件、保留率、访问频率和交易价值产生了积极影响。

  激光脱毛试点项目成功地吸引了新客人,并增加了现有客户的消费。

  该公司没有就天气对门店关闭或销售的影响提供具体的量化数据。

  史黛西·雪莉(Stacie Shirley)讨论了天气对近300家门店日的影响,以及从第一季度到第二季度的支出变化。

  由于许可延迟和租赁谈判,该公司将其2024年的单元开发减半。

  欧洲蜡中心的重点是推动蜡通行证的转换,客人保留和零售附件的长期增长。

  欧洲蜡中心第一季度的业绩为其旨在促进2024年全年增长的战略举措奠定了基础。该公司将继续致力于提升客户体验,扩大服务范围,推动新老客户参与,以实现其财务目标。凭借卓越的运营和市场扩张的明确重点,欧洲蜡中心准备保持其在个人护理行业的领导地位。

  欧洲蜡中心(EWCZ)是个人护理行业的主要参与者,尽管面临一些挑战,但其2024年第一季度的业绩仍显示出弹性。公司的战略举措和扩张计划反映在关键的财务指标和市场估值指标上。以下是一些基于InvestingPro数据和建议的见解:

  InvestingPro数据:

  该公司的市值为6.6302亿美元,在市场上占有相当大的份额。

  市盈率为65.52,过去12个月的调整后市盈率截至2023年第四季度,该公司的市盈率为61.58倍,市盈率很高。

  欧洲蜡中心的毛利率高达71.66%,显示出其在运营中保持盈利能力的能力。

  InvestingPro小贴士:

  分析人士预测,欧洲蜡中心今年将实现盈利,这与该公司乐观的前景和增长计划一致。

  该公司令人印象深刻的毛利率反映了它的经营状况提高效率,并可能成为未来盈利能力的关键驱动力。

  随着欧洲蜡中心不断扩大其足迹和多样化的服务产品,这些财务指标和专家的见解表明,该公司处于良好的增长地位。对于对更深入的分析感兴趣的投资者,可以在http://k1.fpubli.cc/file/upload/202405/16/uf344gq4x1q上获得更多的InvestingPro提示。使用优惠券代码PRONEWS24可获得每年或两年一次的Pro和Pro+订阅额外10%的折扣,并获得全面的工具套件和洞察力,以做出明智的投资决策。

  接线员:早上好,女士们,先生们,感谢你们的等待。欢迎参加欧洲蜡制品中心2024年第一季度财报电话会议。此时,所有参与者都处于仅听模式。演讲结束后,将有一个问答环节。【操作说明】。今天接听电话的是首席执行官David Willis;首席财务官Stacie Shirley;Andrea Wasserman,首席商务官。现在我想把会议交给投资者关系部主任Bethany Johns。女士,你可以开始了。

  Bethany Johns:谢谢大家,欢迎参加欧洲蜡像馆2024年第一季度财报电话会议。在今天的电话会议上,大卫将首先简要回顾我们第一季度的业绩,并讨论我们2024年余额的优先事项。然后,史黛西将提供有关我们的财务业绩和2024财年展望的更多细节。在准备好的发言之后,团队将可以回答问题。在我们开始之前,我想提醒你我们的法律免责声明。我们今天将作出某些声明,这些声明在联邦证券法的意义上具有前瞻性,包括关于我们的业务前景和我们今天发布的收益公告中提到的其他事项的声明。这些前瞻性陈述涉及许多风险和不确定因素,可能导致实际结果出现重大差异。有关可能影响我们业绩的风险因素的更详细描述,请参阅我们的美国证券交易委员会文件以及我们今天发布的收益公告。另请注意,这些前瞻性陈述仅反映了我们截至本次电话会议之日的意见,我们没有义务根据新信息或未来事件修改或公开发布前瞻性陈述的任何修订结果。此外,在本次电话会议期间,我们将讨论非GAAP财务指标,这些指标将调整我们的GAAP业绩以消除某些项目的影响。您将在我们的收益发布中找到有关这些非公认会计准则财务指标以及这些非公认会计准则与公认会计准则指标之间的调节的更多信息。本次电话会议的现场直播也可在我们网站的投资者关系部分获得:invests.waxcenter.com。我现在把电话交给大卫·威利斯。

  David Willis: Thank you, Bethany, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We began 2024 with stable frequency and spend among our current guests, signaling the resiliency and predictability of our business model. Even in an uncertain macroeconomic environment, these guests remain resilient. Net new center openings, a key growth driver for European Wax Center, were in line with our expectations as we grew center count 7.5% to 1,051 centers in 45 states. We also delivered growth of 1.3% and 4% respectively in system-wide sales and total revenue. Same-store sales were down 1.2%, and we estimate they would have been slightly positive except for weather and Easter-related center closures that impacted our top-line metrics. Profit margins were strong, and due to our asset-light, highly cash-generative franchise model, our cash position increased meaningfully during the quarter. In fact, with our growing liquidity in mind, this week our board authorized a new $50 million share repurchase program to give us flexibility as we seek opportunities to drive long-term shareholder value. On our year-end earnings call, we shared our focused initiatives to drive average ticket and frequency from both new and existing guests. We are still in the beginning stages of these initiatives, and as I will detail shortly, we are seeing good early reads. As we shared last quarter, we expected that in the current macro environment, Q1 would be the low point in our full-year results as these efforts begin to take root. We believe that these initiatives will materialize and gain traction as we move through the year. Second-quarter trends are tracking in line with this expectation. As a result, we are reiterating our fiscal 2024 financial guidance today. Before I dive into our strategic initiatives, I want to congratulate the entire European Wax Center team on being officially recognized as a great place to work for the second year in a row. Our associates are the key to EWC's culture and success, and the leadership team and I are proud to facilitate an environment where they are free to be their authentic selves, drive performance, delight our guests, and be unleashed to do their best work. Ultimately, they are focused on consistently delivering for both our franchisees and our guests, which we fully expect will translate into continued long-term growth. Now I'd like to discuss the progress we've made on our two key growth vectors, expanding net new centers and driving in-center sales, as well as the plans we have for the balance of 2024. I'll start with our unit growth vector. As planned in our development schedules, our franchisees opened seven net new centers, translating to 7.5% unit growth in Q1. Our franchisee relationships continue to strengthen as we work together to further elevate European Wax Center's leadership position. In fact, nearly all of our expected 75 to 80 net new centers in fiscal 2024 will come from existing franchisees, showcasing their excitement for the European Wax Center business model and their commitment to reinvesting in our brand. We remain focused on the diversity of our franchisee base as well, and expect smaller independent operators, self-funded multi-unit developers, and private equity-backed franchisees to each operate approximately one-third of our centers over time. Overall, our franchisees remain well-capitalized, and our development pipeline of over 370 locations remains robust. Most importantly, these long-term commitments are a testament to the strength and resiliency of our model and give us visibility to deliver against our high single-digit unit growth algorithm for 2024, 2025, and beyond. Our key focus this year is on supporting top-line growth and strong four-wall economics for franchisees, particularly through new guest acquisition. We believe that a strong opening creates the best foundation for new centers and their unit economics. Our data-driven pre-opening playbook launched in Q1, and the centers following it are generating higher average grand opening guest lists and staffing levels. While it will take time for these improvements to move the needle on system-wide metrics, we believe they will translate into higher sales, profitability, and predictability for franchisees through their ramping cycles. Turning to our second growth vector, driving in-center sales, which benefits system-wide sales and same-store sales growth. I'll start with the dynamics we're seeing across our guest cohorts. As I mentioned earlier, spend and frequency among our existing guests have remained stable in 2024. This includes both our less frequent guests as well as our core guests. As a reminder, core guests are comprised of the wax pass and routine guests who drive approximately 75% of our sales volume. These guests have remained committed to their personal care routines for much of the last two years, representing a recurring and durable revenue stream for our brand through various economic cycles. We are pleased with their stability, but we remain focused on growing spend and frequency among this group. Current customers remain loyal fans of European Wax Centers' unparalleled service, efficiency, and expertise. But attracting first-time guests remains our biggest opportunity, especially in the current macro environment where consumers appear more discerning with their spend. We have made real progress against the media, local marketing, and operational initiatives that I outlined on our last earnings call. However, it's still too early to see the full benefits of our guest acquisition efforts. I'll now highlight a few updates on our initiatives, starting with media. We engaged a new media agency in Q4 to streamline our strategy across all of our paid digital channels and search efforts and increase guest reservations in centers. We are pleased that this new strategy is driving reservations, new guests, and cost efficiencies. In late Q2, we expect to begin aligning our media mix to the channels and messages driving the strongest returns. As a result, we believe the biggest impact from our improved approach will come in the back half of the year. And finally, with Wax Pass holders generating more than twice the spend and frequency of non-core guests, we remain very focused on growing Wax Pass penetration. To target frequency, conversion, and loyalty, we successfully tested a 3+1 Wax Pass offer for new guests, which generated incremental sales and retention rates. As a result, we rolled it out network-wide at the end of Q1 and have already seen a positive impact. On to the second bucket, local marketing. We believe one of the best ways to drive new guest acquisition is through local marketing efforts that boost center visibility and awareness. As we ended Q1, we launched partnerships with new local digital media agencies to stimulate franchisee spending. We believe the increased effectiveness and structure under the new agencies will help us demonstrate an even higher local marketing ROI and motivate additional network investment. We also dedicated corporate personnel and introduced franchisee tools to help simplify grassroots marketing plans and execution. Enthusiasm from the network so far has been encouraging with meaningful uptake. And we expect franchisees to ramp up their local marketing spend and efforts throughout 2024. Lastly, our operational initiatives should drive new guests to the brand as well as increase spend from existing guests. First, we've deepened the support of our field trainers in select markets through training, coaching, and ongoing development. By optimizing the guest experience, pilot centers in this program generated improvements across our most important KPIs that impact four wall sales and profitability. We are excited about this program's potential and are currently increasing resources to scale it as the year progresses. As I mentioned last quarter, we continue to make good progress on our proven brow tint formula. Pilot testing indicated that brow tinting attracts new guests to the brand and increases services and therefore dollars per ticket. We expect to launch this incremental service nationwide in the third quarter and support it with a robust staff training program and marketing campaign. Finally, we continue to advance our laser hair removal pilot. Early testing validated our hypothesis that expanding our service offering to laser could attract new guests to the brand and increase share of wallet from existing waxers. Our first six pilot centers in New York generated strong sales with minimal cannibalization of core waxing services. Given our confidence in these early results, we expanded the pilot to ten more New York centers during Q1 and expect to add a handful of Florida centers in Q2. These Q2 centers will help us better understand the operational impact of a stricter regulatory environment and further confirm our hypothesis that laser can enhance already robust four wall economics over time. As mentioned on our last call, we plan to make additional deliberate investments to support this pilot in other states throughout the year, including adding dedicated personnel to our corporate leadership team. While we see this as a potential additive opportunity to expand our brand and the model, European Wax Center remains the dominant player in out-of-home hair removal with a strong and resilient core service offering, waxing. As the experts in our category, we remain uniquely positioned to leverage our scale and footprint to pilot laser and look forward to updating you on our progress. Ultimately, we are confident in our ability to drive new guests to the brand and increase ticket value and frequency among existing guests through the initiatives I outlined. We believe that our data-driven strategies will allow us to deliver another year of top-line growth in 2024. With that, I'd like to hand the call over to Stacie Shirley to review our financial performance and guidance. Stacie?

  Stacie Shirley: Thanks, David, and good morning. Before I begin my remarks, I'd like to remind everyone that in some instances I will speak to adjusted metrics on this call. You can find reconciliation tables to the most comparable GAAP figures in our press release and 10-Q filed with the SEC today. As a reminder, both fiscal years 2022 and 2023 included a 53rd week. The fiscal 2024 returns to a 52-week year. Turning now to our first quarter financial performance, we added seven net new centers during the quarter in line with our expectations. System-wide sales grew 1.3% to $221.4 million as a result of our ramping centers, and total revenue, which includes wax and retail products we sell to the network, increased 4% to $51.9 million. Same-store sales were down 1.2%. Excluding the impact of center closures related to inclement weather in January and a shift in Easter timing between quarters, we estimate Q1 same-store sales would have been slightly positive. As a reminder, same-store sales reflect in-center transactions and wax pass visits as they are redeemed, while system-wide sales is predominantly a cash-based metric that we recognize as payments for products, services, and wax passes are received. In terms of profitability, first quarter gross margin improved approximately 290 basis points to 73.9%, primarily a result of negotiated cost savings. Q1 SG&A decreased 22% year-over-year to $13.5 million, and as a percent of revenue, improved 860 basis points to 26%, compared to 34.6% in the prior year. This decrease was driven by the modification of certain pre-IPO equity awards that added an incremental $3.9 million in share-based compensation to Q1 last year. First quarter SG&A this year was also positively impacted by the timing of technology, professional, and laser-related expenses that we expect to shift into Q2. Q1 adjusted EBITDA dollars increased 7.4% year-over-year to $17.5 million, and margin improved 100 basis points to 33.7%, driven by the flow-through of the cost savings I just mentioned. With higher interest income in 2024, net interest expense decreased to $6.3 million from $6.9 million in the same period last year. Income tax expense was $1.2 million, compared to a benefit of $500,000 last year. Despite the increase in taxes, GAAP net income improved to $3.7 million, and adjusted net income grew 41.3% to $4.8 million. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the first quarter with $60.4 million in cash, and net cash provided by operating activities was $10.7 million, compared to approximately $100,000 in investing outflows. As David mentioned, strong free cash flow is a staple of our asset-light capital-light model. We had $393 million outstanding under our senior secured notes, and our $40 million revolver remains fully undrawn. Net leverage at the end of Q1 was 4.2 times adjusted EBITDA, and our guidance implies net leverage to be at or below four times at the end of this year. Our leverage expectations do not reflect any share repurchases we may execute under the new $50 million authorization approved by our board this week. As a reminder, we fulfilled our previous $40 million repurchase authorization in Q4 2023, and believe that an additional authorization gives us flexibility to be opportunistic as we drive long-term shareholder value. We remain committed to delivering organically over time through adjusted EBITDA, growth, and continuously evaluating the best use of our strong free cash flow. Turning now to our outlook for 2024. Given stable trends for existing guests and the expected progression of our initiatives to drive greater share of wallet and new guest acquisition, we are reiterating our full-year guidance. Our outlook assumes a stable macro environment, and that our focus initiatives will materialize as we progress through the year. While data points thus far have been encouraging, we are still in the early stages of these specific initiatives, and we continue to monitor how they are resonating with new and existing guests in this macro environment. In terms of unit growth, we continue to expect franchisees to open 75 to 80 net new centers in 2024, driven primarily by existing franchisees and focused on markets where we have had less development activity in recent years. based on franchisee construction schedules, we are updating the expected timing of those openings to approximately one-fourth in the first half of the year and three-fourths in the second half. On the top line, we continue to expect system-wide sales between $1 billion and $1.025 billion, or approximately 6.5% to 9% growth on a 52-week adjusted basis, as well as 2% to 5% same-store sales growth for the year. As David noted in his remarks, we believe our top line will benefit more from our focused strategic initiatives in the second half of the year than in the first half. With the rollout of these initiatives in mind, we expect system-wide sales dollars to be the lightest in Q1 and spread fairly evenly between the second and third quarters. We still anticipate that Q1 same-store sales will be the lowest this year, with subsequent quarters following a consistent ramp as our top line initiatives take root. As David mentioned, second quarter to date is tracking in line with this expectation. We continue to expect total revenue between $225 million and $232 million. On a full-year basis, revenue as a percent of system-wide sales will be impacted by the 2024 removal at a COVID-related surcharge for franchisees. However, even without the surcharge in place, we expect underlying cost savings to drive gross margin expansion in fiscal 2024. From an expense standpoint, on a full-year basis, we expect advertising as a percent of revenue to be flat to last year. However, we currently plan for advertising expense to be approximately 400 basis points higher year-over-year in Q2 to align our spin with the ramp of seasonal traffic and to drive initiatives we've described. As shared on our last call, we expect to invest approximately $4 million of operating expenses, a significant portion of which is foundational and one-time in nature, to support the expansion of our laser hair removal pilot. We plan to incur these expenses at a greater pace in Q2 and further increase them over the balance of the year. We've seen encouraging results in the early stages of this pilot, but above all, we remain focused on our strong, resilient, and profitable core service offering, waxing. Including these incremental laser costs, our adjusted EBITDA outlook remains approximately $75 million to $80 million. Absent the laser investment, we would expect to drive adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in 2024. We expect approximately $28 million of interest expense this year and currently believe our 2024 effective tax rate will be approximately 25% before discrete items. Given our capital structure, we expect our blended statutory tax rate will be approximately 20% and expected to increase over time as pre-IPO shareholders exchange to Class B shares for Class A shares. As a result, we expect adjusted net income between $22 million and $25 million. In summary, we remain confident in our resilient, asset-light model, recurring predictable visits from our core guests, and our well-capitalized franchisee base. We are pleased with the progress we continue to make on our strategies to drive in-center sales growth in 2024. We believe we are making investments in the right areas to extend our position and continue taking shares as the undisputed leader in the highly fragmented out-of-home care removal category. We'd now like to open up the call for questions. Operator?

  接线员:谢谢。第一个问题来自Jefferies的Randy Konik。您的电话现在接通了。

  Randal Konik:大家早上好。我想,大卫,首先我需要澄清一下。当你看第一季度同店销售时,你谈到了天气逆风,复活节换班,你谈到了轻微的积极,结果会是什么?这意味着0.1还是1%的类型比较?只是?当你谈到指引时,我认为第二季度和第三季度的同店销售额应该是相等的。你现在是在跟踪2到5的年度指导范围吗?这是我们应该拿走的东西吗?

  斯泰西·雪莉:早上好,兰迪。这是史黛西。有几件事。我们没有更多的描述或规定,因为它涉及到稍微积极。正如你所知,这些都是估计,所以当你把这两种影响结合起来时,这就是我们得出的结论。因为这与我们在第二季度和第三季度给出的指引有关,它不是同店销售。这是全系统的销售额。所以我们预计Q2和Q3会更相似。在过去,第二季度通常是最严重的季度,但由于这些举措的增加,我们预计这两个季度将比过去更加一致。

  兰德尔·科尼克:明白了。好吧。然后我们考虑一下,比如说,中期,一些事情。当我们考虑推动场地增长的能力时,您如何看待价格、客人频率和每次访问服务增长的不同杠杆?请告诉我们你的观点。我很想知道,在你目前所做的激光测试中,你遇到了不同类型的客人吗?他们在做激光脱毛的时候是不是也想加入脱毛服务?我只是很好奇,在激光测试单元和非激光测试单元中,他们表现出什么样的行为。谢谢。

  大卫·威利斯:是的,兰迪,谢谢你的问题。由于它与推动收入增长有关,价格、频次和每张票的组合,通常我们预计会推动更多的门票和每张票的收入。双击它。所以当我们谈到我们的现场培训师支持计划时,这是我们将现场培训师部署到不同市场的地方。我们看到了对我们的能力的直接影响,影响了蜡通过的转换,零售附着力。因此,对于进入这些中心的客人,我们能够提高保留率、访问频率和每笔交易的金额。在我们内部称之为“Operation Elevate”的背后,我们真正的模式是引入我们的营销团队,在“Operation Elevate”背后真正推动当地的基层营销。这样做的目的是推动更多的势头,最终吸引更多的客人。所以这是一种综合方法,兰迪,但我们有信心,我们有能力改变局面,而不必仅仅依靠价格。就激光而言,我们在最初的试点项目中的假设是,我们可以吸引更多的新客户加入我们的品牌,并从我们现有的蜡客中获得更大的钱包份额。6个中心的试点扩展到10个中心,因为我们看到了足够的数据来证实这一点。第三个数据点是,我们希望确保我们的核心付费服务被控制在可接受的范围内,我们也看到了这一点。对于这个品牌来说,激光的最终风向标是,它的收入和利润是否都在增长?虽然我们对最初的结果感到非常鼓舞,但我们希望在其他一些监管环境比纽约更严格的州变得更聪明。这就是我们将激光试点扩展到佛罗里达的原因。我们将把它带到佛罗里达的公司所有的中心,我们将继续监测。我们的网络对进一步扩展到其他州有浓厚的兴趣,因此我们将继续评估品牌内的激光潜力。希望这对你有帮助,兰迪。

  兰德尔·科尼克:是的,这很有帮助。非常感谢。

  大卫·威利斯:当然。

  接线员:请稍等,下一个问题。下一个问题是来自Truist的scott Ciccarelli。您的电话接通了。

  scott Ciccarelli:大家早上好。谢谢你的宝贵时间。看起来要达到你的年度指引的低端,你需要正的低个位数和第二季度,在今年剩余的时间里将其提升到中等个位数。根据我们的计算,要达到高端,你基本上需要一个更陡的斜率,退出率非常高的个位数,甚至几乎是两位数。所以我想问题是,我们可以假设你今天发布的是低个位数的正数据吗?第二,这是关于曲线斜率的合理假设这是关于曲线斜率的合理假设吗?

  斯泰西·雪莉:早上好,斯科特。我认为你说的很有道理,对吗?我们所说的是,随着我们在今年取得进展,这将是一个稳定和持续的增长,这是我们已经实施的这些举措的结果,我们将继续监测这些举措。所以我认为你计算ph值的基础是相当合理的。更重要的是,它与这些举措有关,并继续与新客户产生共鸣。对于第二季度,我们已经说过,我们与我们提出的2%到5%的预期是一致的。

  大卫·威利斯:但是斯泰西,我要说清楚,就市场营销等方面的变化而言,目前的计划已经到位,预计到今年年底,也就是第四季度,你的退出率将达到中个位数到高个位数。

  斯泰西·雪莉:是的,我的意思是,当你做数学的时候,对吧,是- 1.2,然后你必须看到你如何才能达到2.5。再一次,我认为,这是一个合理的假设是你如何到达那里。

  大卫·威利斯:是的,斯科特,让我补充一下。因此,我们重申指南的前提是宏观稳定,我们一直在讨论的举措实际上将推动我们在今年取得进展的结果和影响。我们看到了几个证明点,这些证明点为指南的重申提供了信息。一个是第四季度保留的国家媒体机构,他们奠定了基础,我们看到这推动了预订、新客人和成本效率。他们正在努力优化这一战略,我们希望在今年的行动中产生更大的影响。我刚刚提到了兰迪的问题,我们的外勤教练支持项目。我们对此非常兴奋。我们在第四季度进行了试点。我们在第一季度后期扩展了几个额外的中心。对我们来说,真正重要的收获是我们在四个关键绩效指标中看到的改善,实际上,在我们的现场培训师完成他们的工作并离开这些市场后,特许经营商能够维持这些改善。所以我们这个项目的目标和意图是在今年进一步扩大这个项目的规模。相当小的数据集,但我们在之前的电话中谈到了我们的非政府组织剧本。这是一个数据驱动的剧本,它非常明确地规定了中心开业前所需的支出、所需的人员、员工培训,对于第一季度末推出的这个剧本,以及那些在新剧本之后开业的中心,我们看到他们在第一天就有了更多的新客人,受过适当培训的员工,正如我们所预料的那样,这些新中心的门票和收入都有了更快的增长。最后,最后一个数据点,斯科特,是我们当地的数字机构。4月1日。我们已经有超过400个中心签约并开始利用这些新机构。我们已经看到了非常令人鼓舞的初步进展。我想给大家举几个例子来证明这些早期的观点。这些与我们第二季度数据的趋势相结合,使我们有信心重申全年的前景。

  scott Ciccarelli:明白了。非常有帮助,伙计们。很感激。

  大卫·威利斯:当然。

  接线员:下一个问题来自泰西咨询集团的达纳·泰西。您的电话接通了。

  Dana Telsey:嗨。你能回顾一下地区的情况吗,比如你在加州看到的情况,不同地区有什么不同吗?这一表现与其他表现相比如何?接下来是定价和劳动力成本,价格和劳动力成本有变化吗?对于新成立的营销机构,我们是否应该注意到,它会对第二季度、第三季度和第四季度产生有意义的影响?谢谢你!

  史黛西·雪莉:从地理的角度来看,戴娜,对不起,早上好,没什么好说的。不同地方的天气都不太好。所以这可能是我唯一想说的。但从加州的角度来看,收入并没有那么高。我们继续面临挑战,包括劳动力和建筑成本的增加。但这些都是我们一直在处理的问题。

  大卫·威利斯:是的,达纳,我想补充一点,因为它涉及到劳动力成本,所以在整个网络中没有什么大的头条新闻。今年早些时候,明显有一些孤立的市场提高了最低工资标准。在一些特定的市场,我们看到特许经营商在这些市场上定价,以适应不断上升的劳动力成本。安德里亚,也许你想谈谈我们是如何考虑整体定价的。

  Andrea Wasserman:当然。嗨,黛娜。所以提醒大家,我们确实建议在2021年涨价。2022年。但正如你所知,我们的特许经销商自己定价,有些在过去一年中也提高了价格。基于我们一直以来对形势的分析、监测和评估,我们今年不打算推荐全系统的价格上涨。但我们继续把科学放在背后。我们会根据不同的市场考虑不同的定价方案。我们正在审视我们自己的成本、特许经营商的四面墙利润率、我们看到消费者展示的价格弹性、我们经历的交易趋势以及竞争对手的动向。因此,所有这些都是我们继续观察前景的方式。

  Dana Telsey:明白了。谢谢你!

  接线员:请稍等,下一个问题。下一个问题来自美国银行的洛林·哈钦森。您的电话接通了。

  Lorraine Hutchinson:谢谢。早上好。我很好奇特许经营商对NCO项目的反馈是什么,这是否减轻了他们对未来中心盈利增长的担忧,因为开设中心的成本更高?

  大卫·威利斯:好吧,我告诉你,洛林,早上好。我想说,那些采用新的非政府组织策略的特许经营商完全支持它。他们看到了良好的早期效果。非常小的数据集当我们在Q1的中间打开它时。但我们也做了两件事,洛林。加盟商有两个顾虑,我们想要解决。一个是非政府组织的发展和盈利能力。我认为这个数据,这个剧本,有助于解决这个问题,给他们最好的机会,以更大的势头增长,更快地实现收支平衡,最终,更快地达到非常有吸引力的50%的现金回报率。我们正在做的另一件事是,我们对特许经营商对我们过度饱和或过度开发市场的担忧非常敏感。因此,我们与特许经营咨询委员会合作,制定了双方同意的市场影响指导方针。所以我们的房地产模型已经考虑并模拟了如果我们要开发一个特定的地点,它会对周围的中心产生什么影响。我们总是在假设和参数下工作,即5%至10%的自相残杀对于多单位增长概念来说是可以接受的。因此,我们与特许经营咨询委员会一致认为,如果特许经营商选择的特定地点预计会对周边中心产生巨大影响,我们将寻找另一个地点。因此,我们确实试图从两个方面来解决这个问题,为那些非政府组织提供推动盈利增长的最佳机会,同时保护周边特许经营地点的盈利能力。

  Lorraine Hutchinson:谢谢。

  接线员:请稍等,下一个问题。下一个问题来自Piper Sandler的Korinne Wolfmeyer。您的电话接通了。

  Korinne Wolfmeyer:嘿,早上好,团队。谢谢大家回答问题。我的第一个问题是,我想知道你是否有办法更好地量化复活节和天气的影响,也许你可以给我们一些颜色,有多少中心在复活节假期关闭。那么有多少个中心因为天气原因关闭了,关闭了多少天?也许这可以让我们稍微放心一点,因为没有其他影响,比如宏观经济或间歇性天然气趋势的减弱,也可能导致同店销售额下降。谢谢。

  斯泰西·雪莉:早上好,谢谢你的问题,科琳,但我们还没有把它分成两部分。我可以从天气的角度告诉你,接近300个商店日是我们在1月份计算出来的,在这12个不同的州。所以它确实很有影响力,但我们没有进一步量化它。当然,复活节那天,我们关门。

  Korinne Wolfmeyer:明白了。非常感谢。这是有帮助的。然后我想在事先准备好的发言中,你谈到了从第一季度到第二季度的支出转移。你是否有办法量化这个数字,然后或许能帮助我们更清楚地了解我们应该如何考虑今年剩余时间的利润率节奏?谢谢你!

  史黛西·雪莉:当然。从毛利率的角度,我从这里开始。我们在第一季度看到了非常显著的增长,这是我们通过谈判节省成本的结果。我希望在今年的剩余时间里继续看到改善,而不是我们在第一季度看到的规模。它绝对是超大的。当然,当我们进入后半段时,我们将开始周年纪念。我们在2023年底开始看到的一些成本节约,我猜是我们提供的其他指导,我们没有量化专业费用和技术时间转变的影响。第二季度需要考虑的最重要的事情是我们所说的广告,我们预计本季度收入的百分比将增加约400个基点,因为我们再次加大了这些举措来支持这一点,然后也会更多地与季节性流量保持一致。

  Korinne Wolfmeyer:很好。谢谢你!

  史黛西·雪莉:不客气。

  接线员:请稍等,下一个问题。下一个问题来自摩根士丹利的西蒙·古特曼。您的电话接通了。

  西蒙·古特曼:早上好。我想问一个关于新中心生产力的问题。我认为我们很难得到正确的数学。接下来,看起来你需要在今年剩下的时间里做三次比较才能达到指导范围,至少是低端。今年你们有大约100家新店。今年你还会有100个。因此,如果苹果的销量增加了近20%,达到这个水平,以及这可能会与今年的发展轨迹产生怎样的影响。

  大卫·威利斯:是的,我的意思是,就像我之前提到的,关于新中心的生产力,它是一个非常小的数据集。至少是那些按照我们的非政府组织手册要求开放的中心。但是我们很高兴。我的意思是,他们的门票轨迹,他们的收入轨迹,在某些情况下,一些中心的几周到几个月的时间,就这些新中心的生产力而言,看起来就像新冠病毒之前的中心。说到这里,我们的导游,我的意思是,我想你今年提到了100个中心。我们的单位开发指南是75。

  史黛西·雪莉:100人进来了。

  大卫·威利斯:哦,我抓到你了。全年75到80人。但我们确实预计会在我们的指导范围内。我们完全承认,我们的业绩一个季度比一个季度好。我们在早期数据点中谈到的举措让我们相信,随着我们一个季度接一个季度的进步,这些举措将成为现实,并产生更大的影响。

  西蒙·古特曼:谢谢。关于费用,我想Stacie说过我要问的是从Q1到Q2的费用是多少。我不认为你在量化。然后是IPO奖励,让我们回顾一下。然后这个新的运行率会继续下去吗?或者我们会看到一些费用在某个点回来吗?

  斯泰西?雪莉:去年第一季度,我们有近400万美元的资金,可以说是一次性的,也可以说不是一次性的,但这是一笔与ipo前授予相关的巨额资金。所以你可以完全把它拿出来因为它和持续的运行速率有关。每个季度的数据都是一致的。我想我们大概会说,大概是200万美元,差不多。

  西蒙·古特曼:明白了。好吧。谢谢,每一个人。祝你好运。

  大卫·威利斯:谢谢西蒙。

  接线员:请稍等,下一个问题。下一个问题来自贝尔德的乔纳森·康普。您的电话现在接通了。

  乔纳森·康普:是的。嗨。早上好。如果我能跟进一下2024年的单位发展计划,我认为,三个季度的后半加权比我们通常看到的更侧重于后半。你能不能就导致今年形势的个别情况以及下半年坡道的真正能见度发表评论?

  大卫·威利斯:是的,乔恩,问得好。谢谢你!它比我们去年看到的更偏向于后半部。我们计划在第二季度开设的六个中心将推迟到今年下半年。东北部的三个只是在许可方面有些延迟。其中三次与房东的租赁谈判花费了很长时间。我们完全有信心这六个中心都将在2024年开放。现在我们已经装了一半了,我不担心今天会有什么进展,乔恩。我们的加盟商将继续致力于与品牌一起发展。他们继续在现金回报上赚取稳固的现金。希望这回答了你的问题。

  乔纳森·康普:是的,这真的很有帮助。也许还有一个更广泛的问题。如果你考虑一下,随着时间的推移,同店销售运行率是正确的。所以和2024年没有直接关系。但随着时间的推移,你如何看待同店销售?我知道,在某一时刻,人们的观点是追求高个位数的利润。我不知道你对此有什么新的想法。再次感谢。

  史黛西·雪莉:是的,谢谢你的问题。显然,这就是我们的长期算法所在。这就是我们所说的。要达到这个目标,成熟的中锋需要低个位数,而爬坡的中锋需要高个位数。我们相信我们仍然有机会回到那里。随着这一年的进展,我们会越来越接近,特别是在成熟的中心,回到长期的斜坡,假设大卫之前谈到的事情,一个稳定的环境,以及这些倡议真正开始实现。所以我们仍然相信这是我们可以在这个模式中实现的。

  乔纳森·康普:好的,谢谢。再次感谢。

  史黛西·雪莉:谢谢。

  接线员:请稍等,下一个问题。下一个问题来自古根海姆合伙人公司的约翰·海因伯克尔。您的电话接通了。

  约翰·海因伯克尔:嘿,大卫,你能详细介绍一下现场训练计划吗?就他们具体在做什么而言?我不知道他们是否在培训蜡像专家,经理等等。你谈到了kpi,对吧?那么你认为最关键的kpi是什么?最后,我很好奇,很明显,你会有很多教练,在很多商店工作。我只是好奇,最终,这是一个50人的努力吗?是100个人吗?如果你仔细想想,它有多大?

  大卫·威利斯:是的,约翰,谢谢你的问题。所以,今天我们有。我们只有不到10名现场培训师。所以我想给出一些背景。虽然我们希望扩大这个团队,但我们并没有表示我们的OpEx结构会发生根本性的变化。我认为这些人可以很好地推动和集中流动,无论是对我们的收入,还是最终对我们的EBITDA线。当我看到一个特定的市场,约翰,我们处理这个问题的方式是进入一个特定的市场这个市场可能是一个更大的特许经营集团。也许是一个加盟商。如果一个市场有很多小的群体,我们的现场业务顾问和现场培训师的组合就会部署到那个市场,他们一次会在那个市场呆上几个星期。因此,他们不只是检查这些中心或做季度业务审查,而是深入市场评估这些中心的人员配备是否合理?他们是按照剧本来的吗?并亲自指导,指导,指导我们向网络发布的剧本。我们关注的关键绩效指标是Wax Pass的转化率和客人留存率。所以我们衡量客人留存率。客人来过你们中心吗?他们是否在接下来的60天内重新预订或重新预订参观该中心?推动零售依恋。这是一种不同的方式,而不是一年几次,一年四次与特许经营商联系,告诉他们这是你改善中心的机会。这是一种非常实际的方法。到目前为止,我们对早期的解读非常满意。我们在去年第四季度有一个试点中心。今年第一季度末,我们去了另一个市场。因此,我们的目标和计划是,随着今年的进展,进一步扩大这个项目的规模。

  约翰·海因伯克尔:好的。也许是这个的后续。正确的。如果我们让你想想从现在到第四季度整个系统的销售情况你把它分成四个部分。正确的。有核心和非核心。然后你就有了合适的流量和消费。你认为最大的增长,最重要的增长会出现在哪些方面?

  大卫·威利斯:约翰,你能解释一下核心和非核心吗?

  约翰·海因伯克尔:对。嗯,我想你说得对。核心是我想让它变得简单,而不是像Wax一样随意。所以我认为核心是75%的非核心。我想是25岁。如果我想一下,75和25。然后我考虑合适的流量,并在每个流量上花费。这四个桶。如果你说这一个或一个或两个将导致不成比例的增长,那会是什么?

  大卫·威利斯:我不知道会有哪一款游戏会带来不成比例的增长。如果我考虑我们现有的客人,无论是核心客人还是非核心客人,我认为今年的增长很大一部分来自现有的客人档案。所以对于我们的核心客户,我们希望获得更大的钱包份额。所以这可能是我们最好的机会。他们已经有了规律的节奏,可能会推动更好的零售附件或附加服务。对于那些来的频率较低的非核心客户来说,我们是否可以给他们一张蜡票,让他们定期去。所以如果我看一下我们预期的增长,我认为最大的份额将来自现有的客人档案,获得更多的访问量和每张票的更多美元。我想我们在事先准备好的讲稿中简要地谈过这个问题。我认为,在吸引更多新客人加入这个品牌方面,我们有巨大的机会。在这种环境下,我们知道那些还没有定期脱毛的消费者可能更难说服他们开始脱毛。但我们对我们国家媒体项目的早期阅读感到非常满意,我们对我们当地数字代理项目的早期阅读感到鼓舞。希望这能让你对我们的想法有更多的了解。

  约翰·海因伯克尔:谢谢。

  接线员:[接线员说明]下一个问题来自花旗银行的凯利·克拉戈。您的电话现在接通了。

  凯利·克拉戈:大家好。谢谢你回答我们的问题。我只是想把重点放在第一季度的竞争表现上。所以x,时间变化和闭包,稍微积极的比较,它低于共识的建模。我很好奇公司的业绩和你的季度计划有什么关系。你提到,我们也谈了很多关于你从新客人身上看到的弱点。考虑到你确实与这家新媒体公司有合作关系,这是你所期望的吗?第二点,任何一种颜色都可以把嘉宾的表现和预期结合起来因为有些人更容易受到宏观波动的影响。

  史黛西·雪莉:太好了。谢谢你,凯莉。就Q1的比较而言。所以我们并没有提供。如你所知,我们不提供具体的季度指导或我们的内部期望是什么。然而,我们在3月份的电话会议上确实说过,我们预计第一季度将是今年的低点,因为这些举措的推出和那些正在开始实现的举措。当然,在那一点上,我们知道天气和复活节的影响。所以我们仍然认为Q1将是今年的最低点。我们重申了全年2%到5%的增长目标。这就是我们今天要讨论的问题。

  大卫·威利斯:凯利,我想补充一下第一季度的客串嘉宾。事实上,我们看到她的访问频率和消费保持稳定。正如我们之前所说,我们最大的机会是吸引更多的新客人来我们的品牌,我们预计随着我们今年的进展,会有更多的新客人加入我们的档案。同样,部分与我们的国家媒体机构有关,但我们希望更多的动力来自地方数字机构在这些地方基层的努力。我们已经看到,采用这种草根营销策略的特许经营商正在他们的中心发挥作用。

  Kelly Crago:还有一个关于节奏的问题,额外的变化。你在闭包里吗?你能不能用颜色表示一下这个季度的业绩是如何发展的以便更好地理解第一季度的运行率。

  斯泰西?雪莉:我们没有提供月度业绩指标,然而,很明显,我们在1月份受到了重大影响,正如我之前提到的,估计有300家门店关闭,然后在3月份,这是一个转变,但我们没有进一步量化它。除了第二季度,我们正在朝着我们认为的方向发展,我们对今年的预期。

  Kelly Crago:谢谢。

  接线员:现在没有其他问题了。现在请大卫·威利斯作总结发言。

  大卫·威利斯:谢谢,米歇尔。感谢大家抽空参加今天的电话会议。我们期待着在未来的几天和几周内与您交谈,并实现我们的长期增长目标。谢谢你来接电话。

  接线员:今天的电话会议到此结束。谢谢你的参与。您现在可以断开连接。

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